Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 8.842737 10.318338 11.932009 13.823388 15.975010 18.341908 21.137995
2026-01-25 6.157051 8.095259 10.439123 13.461602 17.232948 21.758782 27.573701
2026-02-01 4.599232 6.663099 9.368511 13.128430 18.164558 24.616257 33.434810
2026-02-08 3.505965 5.529085 8.372508 12.583504 18.567223 26.654813 38.276456
2026-02-15 2.763800 4.705749 7.610394 12.159256 18.962493 28.588285 43.016616
2026-02-22 2.389860 4.348459 7.438790 12.512898 20.433283 32.071337 50.128459
2026-03-01 2.098705 4.061301 7.313847 12.888802 21.931748 35.673368 57.652978
2026-03-08 1.726346 3.561783 6.761616 12.491780 22.153510 37.336514 62.364825
2026-03-15 1.444544 3.168948 6.323246 12.208863 22.496068 39.168948 67.420273
2026-03-22 1.334966 3.082191 6.407794 12.825336 24.374196 43.562729 76.799978
2026-03-29 1.213778 2.948931 6.384005 13.235128 25.919012 47.505283 85.694303
2026-04-05 1.066512 2.732786 6.168697 13.257651 26.766642 50.322174 92.890507
2026-04-12 0.924323 2.513385 5.941245 13.281206 27.714814 53.550672 101.316892
2026-04-19 0.769428 2.233770 5.552076 12.948487 27.990589 55.675705 108.108449
2026-04-26 0.641751 1.989303 5.195742 12.629764 28.250413 57.782117 115.016987
2026-05-03 0.522886 1.736098 4.772875 12.103822 28.028102 58.959801 120.310306
2026-05-10 0.431473 1.532578 4.427838 11.694043 27.985106 60.449492 126.254575
2026-05-17 0.391608 1.468597 4.413820 12.035743 29.553228 65.163810 138.571010
2026-05-24 0.357218 1.412486 4.409994 12.398976 31.198853 70.144306 151.710247
2026-05-31 0.297668 1.257699 4.116176 12.015344 31.147195 71.697608 158.267317
2026-06-07 0.251382 1.133180 3.880991 11.741998 31.309470 73.688184 165.802596
2026-06-14 0.238262 1.124694 3.977108 12.337648 33.548175 80.176317 182.790339
2026-06-21 0.220222 1.092470 3.997316 12.733663 35.347326 85.846535 198.431202